This year is one of the most—and least—predictable Academy Awards seasons in history. I’m not entering a contest this year and therefore have little investment in who ends up with the gold statue. But since some folks ask, here we go with my predictions (not my preferences):

Best Picture One Battle after Another

Spoiler: Sinners

Best Director Paul Thomas Anderson, One Battle After Another

Best Actor Michael B. Jordan, Sinners

Performance that should have won, and that I hoped would have if the lead wasn’t acting like such a [you fill it in]. …. Timothée Chalamet in Marty Supreme

Best Actress Jesse Buckley, Hamnet (this one is locked up)

Best Supporting Actor and Actress are what make this such a confusing race.

Best Supporting Actor Sean Penn, One Battle After Another

Note: I hate his character in the film, and don’t like the actor very much either, but it looks like it’s going to give him his third Oscar. I am hoping for an upset from Stellan Skarsgärd for Sentimental Value.

Best Supporting Actress Amy Madigan Weapons

Best Original Screenplay Sinners

Best Adapted Screenplay One Battle After Another

Best Animated Feature KPop Demon Hunters

Best Song “Golden” from KPop Demon Hunters

Best Casting (the new category] Sinners

Best Score Sinners

Best Cinematography One Battle After Another But I’d be happy with a win from Sinners or

Train Dreams.

Best Editing One Battle After Another

Best Costume Design Frankenstein

Best Production Design Frankenstein

Best Makeup and Hairstyling Frankenstein

Sound F1

Best Visual Effects Avatar Fire and Ash [duh…]

Best Documentary Feature The Perfect Neighbor

Best International Feature Sentimental Value

I don’t really care about the other ones…(sorry, not sorry)