Early Oscar Predictions (just to get the dialog going)

I don’t think this year’s crop of Oscar winners are all that hard to predict. But there are always surprises. Here are my early, un-researched thoughts on a few of the more popular categories.

Best Picture
Should win: 12 Years a Slave
Will Win: 12 Years a Slave

Best Director
Should win: either Steve McQueen for 12 Years a Slave or Alfonso Cuarón for Gravity
Will Win: Alfonso Cuarón for Gravity

Best Actor
Should Win: Matthew McConaughey for Dallas Buyers Club or Bruce Dern for Nebraska
Will Win: Matthew McConaughey for Dallas Buyers Club

Best Actress
Should Win: Cate Blanchett for Blue Jasmine
Will Win: Cate Blanchett for Blue Jasmine

Best Supporting Actor
Should Win: Jared Leto for Dallas Buyers Club or Michael Fassbender for 12 Years a Slave
Will Win: Jared Leto for Dallas Buyers Club

Best Supporting Actress
Should Win: Lupito Nyong’o for 12 Years a Slave
Will Win: Lupito Nyong’o for 12 Years a Slave

Best Animated Film
Should Win: Frozen
Will Win: Frozen

Best Original Song
Should Win: “Let It Go” from Frozen
Will Win: “Let It Go” from Frozen

Best Cinematography
Should Win: Emmanuel Lubezki for Gravity
Will Win: Emmanuel Lubezki for Gravity

Best Visual Effects
Should Win: Gravity
Will Win: Gravity

Best Original Screenplay
Should Win: Her
Will Win: Her

Best Adapted Screenplay
Should Win: John Ridley for 12 Years a Slave or Billy Ray for Captain Phillips
Will Win: Billy Ray for Captain Phillips

Foreign Language Film
Should Win: The Great Beauty (Italy)
Will Win: The Great Beauty (Italy)

Your thoughts?